NHC Atlantic Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Sep 10 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Francine, located in the Gulf of Mexico about 100 miles
offshore of northeastern Mexico.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An elongated area of low pressure located over the central tropical
Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear only
marginally conducive for some slight development during the next
couple of days, but a tropical depression could still form during
that time while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands is expected to interact and merge with a
strong tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and
the Cabo Verde Islands over the next couple of days. Thereafter,
Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of
this combined system, and a tropical depression will likely form
during the latter part of this week while the system moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Forecaster Papin

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