NHC Atlantic Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Francine, located over southern Louisiana and on Tropical
Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean.

1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic
continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slight
development during the next day or so while the system moves
westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. The
disturbance is expected to reach an area of stronger upper-level
winds on Friday, likely ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the
east of the Leeward Islands is producing a limited area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air
near the system is expected to limit additional development over the
next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less
conducive by this weekend as it moves slowly west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along
a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern
U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development
is possible during the early part of next week while the system
drifts to the north or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Bucci

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