NHC Atlantic Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Seven, located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The
Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Francine, located inland over the Mississippi, Missouri,
and Tennessee tri-state area.

1. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94):
Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a
small area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east of
the Leeward Islands. The proximity of dry air near the system is
expected to limit additional development over the next couple of
days. Environmental conditions are expected to become even less
conducive over the weekend while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward. Regardless of development, this system could
produce locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds across the northern
Leeward Islands on Friday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
A non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual
frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S.
coastline this weekend. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical
development is possible during the early part of next week while the
system drifts to the north or northwest.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Bucci

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