NHC Atlantic Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon):
An area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over
the central tropical Atlantic is associated with the remnants of
Gordon. This system is forecast to interact with a non-tropical low
to its northwest while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph
during the next couple of days. Environmental conditions could
become more conducive for development later this week, and a
tropical depression or storm could re-form in a few days while the
system moves slowly northward over the central subtropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early
next week over the western and northwestern Caribbean Sea.
Thereafter, some slow development of this system is possible through
the middle of next week while it moves slowly to the north or
northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Beven

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