NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook

[spenb]

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Jul 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP94):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of
organization with an area of low pressure located a few hundred
miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for further development of this system,
and a tropical depression is expected to form over the next day or
so. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at
10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the
southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Western East Pacific (EP95):
An area of low pressure has developed well to the southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and shower and
thunderstorm activity associated with the system continues to show
some signs of organization. Additional development of this system is
possible, and a tropical depression could form by the end of this
week. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10
mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of
Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Afterwards,
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end
of the week or this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days,
remaining offshore.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Bucci

View the full article