NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 30 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP94):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of
organization with an area of low pressure located a few hundred
miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental
conditions are conducive further development of this system, and a
tropical depression is expected to form on Wednesday. The system is
forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph
during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Western East Pacific (EP95):
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low
pressure located more than one thousand miles to the southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula has not become
any better organized during the past several hours. Additional
development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression
could form by the end of this week. This system is forecast to
move slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the western
portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to form offshore of the coast
of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Afterwards,
environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of
this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end
of the week or this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward
to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days,
remaining offshore.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Forecaster Hagen/Pasch

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