NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 31 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Three-E, located a few hundred miles southwest
of Manzanillo, Mexico.

1. Western East Pacific (EP95):
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association
with an area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to
the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.
Conditions appear to be only marginally favorable for some
gradual development of this system over the next couple of
days. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10
mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of
Central America is producing some disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this
system later this week where environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is likely
to form by this weekend as the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days,
remaining offshore.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under
WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

Forecaster Landsea/Papin

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