NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sat Aug 3 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Carlotta, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula and on Tropical Storm
Daniel, located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. South of Southern Mexico (EP96):
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few
hundred miles south of southern Mexico continues to be associated
with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is
likely to form by early next week while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, staying well offshore of the
coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. Well South of the Baja California Peninsula:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
are associated with another broad area of low pressure that has
formed. Some development is possible during the next day or two
before the system interacts with the disturbance (EP96) to its
southeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under
WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

Forecaster Hagen/Brown

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