NHC Eastern North Pacific Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Sun Aug 4 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Corrected to update active systems and include statement for gale
warnings for EP96.

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Storm Carlotta, located several hundred miles to
the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Daniel, located more than one
thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula.

1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP96):
Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased with a broad area of
low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southwestern
Mexico. Environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the
next day or two while the system moves generally west-northwestward
at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. For
more information of this system, including Gale Warnings, see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

2. South-Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula (EP97):
Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization
with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development
over the next day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to
form during that time while the system meanders within weak steering
currents. Thereafter, the system is forecast to interact with the
disturbance (EP96) to its southeast, which should limit the chances
of further development afterwards.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under
WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under
WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02
KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

Forecaster Papin/D. Zelinsky

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