CPHC Central North Pacific Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 PM HST Fri Aug 16 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Approximately 650 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a
broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear
marginally conducive for some development of this system early
next week while moving westward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.


2. Approximately 2050 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
An area of low pressure could form this weekend or early next week
more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California peninsula. Slow development of this system is
anticipated, and a tropical depression will likely form during the
middle part of next week while it moves westward to
west-northwestward across the western portion of the basin and into
the Central Pacific basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


3. Approximately 1350 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
A small area of low pressure has formed well southeast of the
Hawaiian islands. Some development of this system is possible this
weekend into early next week while it moves across the western
portion of the East Pacific and into the Central Pacific basin. By
the middle of next week, the system could merge with a larger
system to the east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

Forecaster M Ballard

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