CPHC Central North Pacific Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 AM HST Sat Aug 17 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Approximately 750 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad
area of low pressure that is slowly moving west. Environmental
conditions are not conducive for the development of a tropical
depression from this area of disturbed area.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.


2. Approximately 1900 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with a
broad trough of low pressure located more than one thousand miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. While this system may interact with another area of low
pressure to its west-southwest over the next several days, some
gradual development of this system is forecasted if it remains the
dominant disturbance. A tropical depression is likely form during
the middle part of next week while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward over the western portion of the basin and into
the Central Pacific basin by the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.


3. Approximately 1200 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
A small area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian
Islands is associated with some disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible this
weekend into early next week while it moves slowly over the western
portion of the East Pacific or Central Pacific basin. By the middle
of next week, this system could merge with a larger system
developing to its east.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

Forecaster Blood

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