CPHC Central North Pacific Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
800 AM HST Sun Aug 18 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

1. Approximately 1300 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
An area of low pressure located far southeast of the Hawaiian
Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on
its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the
disturbance located to its east (mentioned below). If this system
becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is
possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of
the week as it moves slowly over the western portion of the East
Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific
basin is likely by the latter portion of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.


2. Approximately 1800 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with
a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the
southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is
forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest
(mentioned above) over the next few days, which could limit
additional development if this system does not become the dominant
disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form
during the middle part of the week. This system will generally
move west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the
disturbance (mentioned above).
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

Forecaster Blood

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