CPHC Central North Pacific Outlook

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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
200 AM HST Thu Aug 22 2024

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida is issuing
advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located more than one thousand miles
west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula, or around two thousand miles east of Hilo, Hawaii. Gilma
is expected to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center's area
of responsibility early next week.

Approximately 1000 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii (EP91/CP90):
Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to shows signs of
organization with an area of low pressure well east-southeast of
the Hawaiian Islands. Only a slight improvement in organization
could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical
storm later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph.
This system is currently crossing into the Central Pacific basin,
where it is then forecast to strengthen during the next couple of
days and move near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early
next week. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

1. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though
it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude
of potential impacts. Now that the system is moving into the
Central Pacific basin, all future information on this system
will be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central
Pacific Basin.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.



Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on
the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php

The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be
found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on
the web at hurricanes.gov

Forecaster Jelsema

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