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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly- developed Tropical Depression Nine-E, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Thu Sep 12 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Powell NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located less than 200 miles southwest of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico continue to become better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today or tonight. Interests in the Mexican states of Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, and Sonora should closely monitor the progress of this system. Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches will likely be required for some of those locations later this morning. Regardless of development heavy rainfall is likely across portions of those locations. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Forecaster Hagen View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Thu Sep 12 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Powell NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Francine, located inland over south-central Mississippi, and on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not expected while it moves westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): Showers and thunderstorms have become a bit more concentrated in association with a small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, the proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected to become even less conducive over the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Hagen View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Francine, located inland over south-central Mississippi, and on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not expected while it moves westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): Showers and thunderstorms have become a bit more concentrated in association with a small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, the proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected to become even less conducive over the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Hagen View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Francine, located inland over south-central Mississippi, and on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A weak area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not expected while it moves westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): Showers and thunderstorms have become a bit more concentrated in association with a small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, the proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected to become even less conducive over the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Hagen View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Thu Sep 12 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Powell NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93): Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located less than 200 miles southwest of Puerto Vallarta, Mexico continue to become better organized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form later today or tonight. Interests in the Mexican states of Baja California Sur, Sinaloa, and Sonora should closely monitor the progress of this system. Tropical Storm Warnings and Watches will likely be required for some of those locations later this morning. Regardless of development heavy rainfall is likely across portions of those locations. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Forecaster Hagen View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Francine, located over southern Louisiana, and on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A weak area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not likely while it moves westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by this weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Pasch View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Francine, located over southern Louisiana, and on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A weak area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not likely while it moves westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by this weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Pasch View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 11 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93): A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves slowly northwestward, near the coast of southwestern Mexico and toward the Baja California Peninsula. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely across coastal portions of southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next day or two. Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Forecaster Pasch View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 12 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Francine, located over southern Louisiana, and on Tropical Depression Seven, located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A weak area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Development of this system is not likely while it moves westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by this weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Pasch View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Wed Sep 11 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Powell NNNN View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Wed Sep 11 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Francine, located over southern Louisiana and on Tropical Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slight development during the next day or so while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. The disturbance is expected to reach an area of stronger upper-level winds on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing a limited area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by this weekend as it moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Bucci View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Wed Sep 11 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Francine, located over southern Louisiana and on Tropical Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slight development during the next day or so while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. The disturbance is expected to reach an area of stronger upper-level winds on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing a limited area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by this weekend as it moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Bucci View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Francine, located over southern Louisiana and on Tropical Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slight development during the next day or so while the system moves westward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. The disturbance is expected to reach an area of stronger upper-level winds on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing a limited area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by this weekend as it moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Forecaster Bucci View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Wed Sep 11 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Sep 11 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP93): A broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles off the coast of southwestern Mexico is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days as the system moves slowly northwestward, near the coast of southwestern Mexico and toward the Baja California Peninsula. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is likely across coastal portions of southwestern and west-central Mexico during the next day or two. Interests in the southern Baja California peninsula should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Forecaster Cangialosi View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Wed Sep 11 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Francine, located just south of Louisiana, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slight development during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. The disturbance is expected to reach an area of stronger upper-level winds on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A small but well-defined area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. The proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S. over the Western Atlantic: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. Forecaster Bann/Blake View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Wed Sep 11 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 11 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Francine, located just south of Louisiana, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Seven located over the eastern Atlantic Ocean. 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): An area of low pressure located over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some slight development during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. The disturbance is expected to reach an area of stronger upper-level winds on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A small but well-defined area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the east of the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. The proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional development over the next couple of days before environmental conditions become even less conducive by this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. 3. Offshore the Southeastern U.S. over the Western Atlantic: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. Forecaster Bann/Blake View the full article