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spenb

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Everything posted by spenb

  1. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Thu Aug 22 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, or around two thousand miles east of Hilo, Hawaii. Gilma is expected to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center's area of responsibility early next week. Approximately 1000 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii (EP91/CP90): Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to shows signs of organization with an area of low pressure well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is currently crossing into the Central Pacific basin, where it is then forecast to strengthen during the next couple of days and move near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 1. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Now that the system is moving into the Central Pacific basin, all future information on this system will be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific Basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Jelsema View the full article
  2. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Aug 22 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91/CP90): Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is currently crossing into the Central Pacific basin, where it is then forecast to strengthen during the next couple of days and move near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too soon to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Now that the system is moving into the Central Pacific basin, all future information on this system will be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific Basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Central Portion of the East Pacific (EP92): A broad area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles to the south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula and is currently producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms primarily west of its center. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph over the central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Papin View the full article
  3. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN View the full article
  4. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located about one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): Shower and thunderstorm activity has gradually increased tonight in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. A slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm on Thursday while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin early Thursday morning, where it is then forecast to strengthen during the next couple of days and move near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Central Portion of the East Pacific: A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph over the central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Reinhart View the full article
  5. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Wed Aug 21 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located around a thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, or around two thousand miles east of Hilo, Hawaii. Gilma is expected to move into the Central Pacific Hurricane Center's area of responsibility early next week. Approximately 1100 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii (EP91): Shower and thunderstorm activity has gradually increased tonight in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. A slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm on Thursday while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin early Thursday morning, where it is then forecast to strengthen during the next couple of days and move near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. 1. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Jelsema View the full article
  6. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located about one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): Shower and thunderstorm activity has gradually increased tonight in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. A slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm on Thursday while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to move into the central Pacific basin early Thursday morning, where it is then forecast to strengthen during the next couple of days and move near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Central Portion of the East Pacific: A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles to the south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph over the central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Reinhart View the full article
  7. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Aug 22 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Pasch NNNN View the full article
  8. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located about a thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization today in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. However, only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later tonight or early Thursday while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure centered several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next two to three days while the system moves west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific, well offshore of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Blake View the full article
  9. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Wed Aug 21 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization today in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. However, only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later tonight or early Thursday while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster JVC View the full article
  10. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Wed Aug 21 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization today in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. However, only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later tonight or early Thursday while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster JVC View the full article
  11. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Wed Aug 21 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization today in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. However, only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later tonight or early Thursday while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster JVC View the full article
  12. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Wed Aug 21 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization today in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. However, only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later tonight or early Thursday while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster JVC View the full article
  13. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located about a thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization today in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. However, only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later tonight or early Thursday while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure centered several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next two to three days while the system moves west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific, well offshore of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Blake View the full article
  14. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kelly NNNN View the full article
  15. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located about a thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization since last night in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. However, only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin tonight or on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure centered several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next two to three days while the system moves west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific, well offshore of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Alaka/Papin View the full article
  16. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Wed Aug 21 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization since last night in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. However, only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin tonight or on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster JVC View the full article
  17. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located about a thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization since last night in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. However, only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin tonight or on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure centered several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next two to three days while the system moves west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific, well offshore of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Alaka/Papin View the full article
  18. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Berg NNNN View the full article
  19. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Gilma, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP90/EP91): Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. If these trends continue, a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to develop later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. A weaker disturbance located just to its southwest is expected to merge with this system later today. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin tonight or on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure centered several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development in a few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific, well offshore of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Papin/Alaka View the full article
  20. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Wed Aug 21 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Approximately 1300 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP90/EP91): Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. If these trends continue, a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to develop later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. A weaker disturbance located just to its southwest is expected to merge with this system later today. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the Central Pacific basin tonight or on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. 1. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the East Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Blood View the full article
  21. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Gilma, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP90/EP91): Showers and thunderstorms continue to become better organized in association with a well-defined area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. If these trends continue, a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to develop later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. A weaker disturbance located just to its southwest is expected to merge with this system later today. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin tonight or on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure centered several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development in a few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific, well offshore of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Papin/Alaka View the full article
  22. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Berg NNNN View the full article
  23. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Aug 20 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Gilma, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP90/EP91): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a well-defined area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands are gradually becoming better organized, and only a slight increase in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. The weaker disturbance located just to its southwest is expected to dissipate or merge with this system during the next several hours. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves across the central Pacific basin late this week and move near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. 1. While it is too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts, interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development in a day or two, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward over open waters, well offshore of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Hagen/Pasch View the full article
  24. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Tue Aug 20 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Approximately 1350 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP90/EP91): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a well-defined area of low pressure located well east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands are gradually becoming better organized, and only a slight increase in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. The weaker disturbance located just to its southwest is expected to dissipate or merge with this system during the next several hours. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves across the central Pacific basin late this week and move near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. 1. While it is too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts, interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the eastern Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Blood View the full article
  25. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Tue Aug 20 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Approximately 1350 miles east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP90/EP91): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a well-defined area of low pressure located well east southeast of the Hawaiian Islands are gradually becoming better organized, and only a slight increase in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. The weaker disturbance located just to its southwest is expected to dissipate or merge with this system during the next several hours. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves across the central Pacific basin late this week and move near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. 1. While it is too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts, interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance. Information on this system\'s development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the eastern Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Eastern Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOEP and WMO header ABPZ20 KNHC and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Blood View the full article
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