spenb

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Gilma located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP90): A low pressure system located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east-northeast. If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could form in the next couple of days while it initially moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. 2. Western Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the next few days which could limit additional development. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week while the system moves generally west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the disturbance currently located further west. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: An area of low pressure could form well to the south of the southwestern coast of Mexico around the middle of the week. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow development of this system thereafter as it moves slowly west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Gilma are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Gilma are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. Forecaster Bucci View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Hurricane Ernesto, located over the western Atlantic several hundred miles south of Atlantic Canada. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Beven NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Seven-E, located well south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: Another area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east. If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of the week while it initially moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Western Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the next few days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week while the system moves generally west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the disturbance currently located further west. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Yet another area of low pressure could form well to the south of the southwestern coast of Mexico around the middle of the week. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow development of this system thereafter as it moves slowly west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ernesto, located over the western Atlantic several hundred miles south of Atlantic Canada. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Papin NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Seven-E, located well south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: Another area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east. If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of the week while it initially moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Western Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the next few days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week while the system moves generally west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the disturbance currently located further west. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Yet another area of low pressure could form well to the south of the southwestern coast of Mexico around the middle of the week. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow development of this system thereafter as it moves slowly west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Sun Aug 18 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Approximately 1300 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: An area of low pressure located far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east (mentioned below). If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of the week as it moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Approximately 1800 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest (mentioned above) over the next few days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week. This system will generally move west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the disturbance (mentioned above). * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. Forecaster Blood View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Sun Aug 18 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Approximately 1300 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: An area of low pressure located far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east (mentioned below). If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of the week as it moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Approximately 1800 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest (mentioned above) over the next few days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week. This system will generally move west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the disturbance (mentioned above). * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. Forecaster Blood View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Sun Aug 18 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Approximately 1300 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: An area of low pressure located far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east (mentioned below). If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of the week as it moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Approximately 1800 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest (mentioned above) over the next few days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week. This system will generally move west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the disturbance (mentioned above). * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. Forecaster Blood View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Sun Aug 18 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Approximately 1300 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: An area of low pressure located far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east (mentioned below). If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of the week as it moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Approximately 1800 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest (mentioned above) over the next few days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week. This system will generally move west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the disturbance (mentioned above). * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. Forecaster Blood View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Seven-E, located well south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: Another area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east. If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of the week while it initially moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Western Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the next few days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week while the system moves generally west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the disturbance currently located further west. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Yet another area of low pressure could form well to the south of the southwestern coast of Mexico around the middle of the week. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow development of this system thereafter as it moves slowly west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Sun Aug 18 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Approximately 1300 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: An area of low pressure located far southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east (mentioned below). If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of the week as it moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Approximately 1800 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest (mentioned above) over the next few days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week. This system will generally move west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the disturbance (mentioned above). * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. Forecaster Blood View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Seven-E, located well south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: Another area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east. If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of the week while it initially moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Western Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the next few days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week while the system moves generally west-northwestward before it possibly merges with the disturbance currently located further west. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Yet another area of low pressure could form well to the south of the southwestern coast of Mexico around the middle of the week. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow development of this system thereafter as it moves slowly west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Seven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2. Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ernesto, located over the western Atlantic several hundred miles south of Atlantic Canada. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Papin NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ernesto, located over the western Atlantic several hundred miles south of Atlantic Canada. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99): An area of low pressure located several hundred miles off the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing showers and thunderstorms that continue to show signs of organization. Recently-received microwave satellite imagery also suggests the system is developing a well-defined center, and if these trends continue, a tropical depression is likely to form as soon as later today. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 10 to 15 mph across the central portion of the eastern Pacific during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the next several days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the western portion of the East Pacific basin before it possibly merges with the disturbance currently located further west. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 3. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: Another area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is currently associated with some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east. If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of this week while it initially moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 4. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Yet another area of low pressure could form well to the south of the southwestern coast of Mexico over the next few days. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow development of this system thereafter as it moves slowly west-northwestward throughout the week into the Central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Sun Aug 18 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Approximately 1700 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the next several days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the western portion of the East Pacific basin before it possibly merges with the disturbance currently located further west. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 2. Approximately 1300 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: Another area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is currently associated with some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east. If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of this week while it initially moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. Forecaster Gibbs View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99): An area of low pressure located several hundred miles off the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing showers and thunderstorms that continue to show signs of organization. Recently-received microwave satellite imagery also suggests the system is developing a well-defined center, and if these trends continue, a tropical depression is likely to form as soon as later today. The system is forecast to move west-northwestward at about 10 to 15 mph across the central portion of the eastern Pacific during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. This system is forecast to interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the next several days, which could limit additional development if this system does not become the dominant disturbance. Regardless, a tropical depression could still form during the middle part of the week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the western portion of the East Pacific basin before it possibly merges with the disturbance currently located further west. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. 3. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: Another area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is currently associated with some disorganized showers and thunderstorms on its western side. This disturbance is forecast to interact with the disturbance located to its east. If this system becomes the dominant disturbance, some gradual development is possible and a tropical depression could form by the middle part of this week while it initially moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific. A faster west-northwestward motion into the Central Pacific basin is likely by the latter portion of the week. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 4. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Yet another area of low pressure could form well to the south of the southwestern coast of Mexico over the next few days. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for some slow development of this system thereafter as it moves slowly west-northwestward throughout the week into the Central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Papin/Cangialosi View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ernesto, located over the western Atlantic several hundred miles south of Atlantic Canada. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Papin NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ernesto, located northeast of Bermuda. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kelly NNNN View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Sat Aug 17 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Approximately 1700 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. While this system may interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the next several days, some gradual development is forecast assuming it becomes the dominant disturbance. A tropical depression is likely to form during the middle part of next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the western portion of the basin and into the Central Pacific basin by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. 2. Approximately 1200 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: A small area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is associated with some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible early next week while it moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific or in the Central Pacific basin. By the middle of next week, this disturbance could merge with an area of low pressure developing to its east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. Forecaster Gibbs View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 17 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Well Offshore of Southwestern Mexico (EP99): A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles off the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing showers and thunderstorms that are becoming better organized. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 to 15 mph across the central portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad trough of low pressure located well west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. While this system may interact with another disturbance to its west-southwest over the next several days, some gradual development is forecast assuming it becomes the dominant disturbance. A tropical depression is likely to form during the middle part of next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the western portion of the basin and into the Central Pacific basin by the end of the week. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. 3. Well Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands: A small area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is associated with some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible early next week while it moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific or in the Central Pacific basin. By the middle of next week, this disturbance could merge with an area of low pressure developing to its east. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov Forecaster Kelly View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Ernesto, located northeast of Bermuda. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kelly NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 17 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Ernesto, located just northeast of Bermuda. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bucci NNNN View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Sat Aug 17 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Approximately 1900 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad trough of low pressure located more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. While this system may interact with another area of low pressure to its west-southwest over the next several days, some gradual development of this system is forecasted if it becomes the dominant disturbance. A tropical depression is likely form during the middle part of next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the western portion of the basin and into the Central Pacific basin by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. 2. Approximately 1100 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: A small area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is associated with some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible this weekend into early next week while it moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific or Central Pacific basin. By the middle of next week, this system could merge with a larger system developing to its east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. Forecaster Blood View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Sat Aug 17 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: 1. Approximately 1900 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with a broad trough of low pressure located more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. While this system may interact with another area of low pressure to its west-southwest over the next several days, some gradual development of this system is forecasted if it becomes the dominant disturbance. A tropical depression is likely form during the middle part of next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward over the western portion of the basin and into the Central Pacific basin by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. 2. Approximately 1100 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii: A small area of low pressure located well southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is associated with some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this system is possible this weekend into early next week while it moves slowly over the western portion of the East Pacific or Central Pacific basin. By the middle of next week, this system could merge with a larger system developing to its east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected during the next 7 days. Forecaster Blood View the full article