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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 4 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta, on Tropical Storm Daniel, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Five-E, all located well offshore of the coast of Mexico. 1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP96): Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form as soon as this afternoon while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. For more information of this system, including Gale Warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php Forecaster Papin View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Sun Aug 4 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster TS NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 4 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta, on Tropical Storm Daniel, and on newly formed Tropical Depression Five-E, all located well offshore of the coast of Mexico. 1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP96): Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form as soon as this afternoon while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. For more information of this system, including Gale Warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Five-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php Forecaster Papin View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 4 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Debby, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. 1. East of the Windward Islands: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles to the east of the Windward Islands continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms, and earlier satellite wind data showed winds of 30-35 mph just north of the wave axis. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some slow development of this system over the next week as the system moves quickly westward at around 20 mph, crossing the Windward Islands early this week and moving into the central and western Caribbean by the mid to latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Papin View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Sun Aug 4 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Birchard NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Aug 4 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Debby, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. 1. East of the Windward Islands: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles to the east of the Windward Islands is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next week as the system moves quickly westward at around 20 mph, crossing the Windward Islands early this week and moving into the central and western Caribbean by the mid to latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Papin View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Sun Aug 4 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Birchard NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 4 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Corrected to update active systems and include statement for gale warnings for EP96. Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Carlotta, located several hundred miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Daniel, located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP96): Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. For more information of this system, including Gale Warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. South-Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula (EP97): Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development over the next day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form during that time while the system meanders within weak steering currents. Thereafter, the system is forecast to interact with the disturbance (EP96) to its southeast, which should limit the chances of further development afterwards. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php Forecaster Papin/D. Zelinsky View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 4 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Corrected to update active systems and include statement for gale warnings for EP96. Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Storm Carlotta, located several hundred miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Daniel, located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP96): Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. For more information of this system, including Gale Warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. South-Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula (EP97): Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development over the next day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form during that time while the system meanders within weak steering currents. Thereafter, the system is forecast to interact with the disturbance (EP96) to its southeast, which should limit the chances of further development afterwards. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php Forecaster Papin/D. Zelinsky View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Aug 4 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Debby, located over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. 1. East of the Windward Islands: A tropical wave located a few hundred miles to the east of the Windward Islands is producing an area of showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of this system is possible over the next week as the system moves quickly westward at around 20 mph, crossing the Windward Islands early this week and moving into the central and western Caribbean by the mid to latter part of this week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Forecaster Papin View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Sun Aug 4 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Birchard NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 4 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Carlotta, located several hundred miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Daniel, located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP96): Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions remain conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. South-Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula (EP97): Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development over the next day or two, and a tropical depression is likely to form during that time while the system meanders within weak steering currents. Thereafter, the system is forecast to interact with the disturbance (EP96) to its southeast, which should limit the chances of further development afterwards. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. Forecaster Papin/D. Zelinsky View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Sat Aug 3 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Birchard NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 3 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Carlotta, located several hundred miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Daniel, located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP96): A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Well South-Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula (EP97): Satellite-derived wind data indicate an area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is gradually becoming better defined. Although its shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, environmental conditions appear conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while the system meanders within weak steering currents. Thereafter, the system is forecast to interact with the disturbance (EP96) to its southeast, which should limit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. Forecaster Reinhart View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Aug 4 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Debby, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Sat Aug 3 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Birchard NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Sun Aug 4 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Debby, located over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 3 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Carlotta, located several hundred miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, and on Tropical Storm Daniel, located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP96): A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Well South-Southwest of the Baja California Peninsula (EP97): Satellite-derived wind data indicate an area of low pressure located several hundred miles to the south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is gradually becoming better defined. Although its shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized, environmental conditions appear conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could form during the next couple of days while the system meanders within weak steering currents. Thereafter, the system is forecast to interact with the disturbance (EP96) to its southeast, which should limit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. Forecaster Reinhart View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Sat Aug 3 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster TS NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Debby, located over the extreme southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Brown NNNN View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Sat Aug 3 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster TS NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 3 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Carlotta, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula and on Tropical Storm Daniel, located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. South of Southern Mexico (EP96): A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico continues to be associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, staying well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Well South of the Baja California Peninsula: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with another broad area of low pressure that has formed. Some development is possible during the next day or two before the system interacts with the disturbance (EP96) to its southeast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. Forecaster Hagen/Brown View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Aug 3 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Debby, located over the extreme southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Brown NNNN View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Sat Aug 3 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster TS NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Aug 3 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Carlotta, located several hundred miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula and on Tropical Storm Daniel, located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 1. South of Southern Mexico (EP96): A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico continues to be associated with a broad area of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, staying well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Well South of the Baja California Peninsula: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula are associated with another broad area of low pressure that has formed. Some development is possible during the next day or two before the system interacts with the disturbance (EP96) to its southeast. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Daniel are issued under WMO header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4. Forecaster Hagen/Brown View the full article