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spenb

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Everything posted by spenb

  1. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP94): Shower and thunderstorm activity is gradually becoming more organized near an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. If these current trends continue, this system is expected to become a tropical depression as soon as later this morning. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western East Pacific (EP95): Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association with an area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Some gradual development of this system remains possible, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Afterwards, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Forecaster Papin View the full article
  2. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas: A large tropical wave located near the Lesser Antilles continues to produce a broad area of disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development while the system moves generally west-northwestward over the Greater Antilles and towards the Bahamas. A tropical depression could form by this weekend while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, or near Florida. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Papin/Landsea View the full article
  3. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas: A large tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing some shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development while the system moves generally west-northwestward over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, or near Florida. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Pasch View the full article
  4. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Tue Jul 30 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article
  5. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Tue Jul 30 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article
  6. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Jul 30 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP94): Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive further development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form on Wednesday. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western East Pacific (EP95): Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula has not become any better organized during the past several hours. Additional development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the end of this week. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Afterwards, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week or this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Forecaster Hagen/Pasch View the full article
  7. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Jul 30 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas: A large tropical wave centered a few hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing some shower and thunderstorm activity. While development has been slow to occur due to dry air, environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive over the warmer waters of the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and a tropical depression could form late this week while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Blake View the full article
  8. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Tue Jul 30 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kino NNNN View the full article
  9. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jul 30 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. South of Southern Mexico (EP94): Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the next day or so. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western East Pacific (EP95): An area of low pressure has developed well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the system continues to show some signs of organization. Additional development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form by the end of this week. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Afterwards, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week or this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Forecaster Bucci View the full article
  10. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Tue Jul 30 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kino NNNN View the full article
  11. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 30 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. South of Southern Mexico (EP94): Shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of organization with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. However, recently received satellite wind data suggests the system does not yet possess a well-defined center. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the next day or two. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western East Pacific: An area of low pressure has developed well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula, and recent shower and thunderstorm activity associated with the system is showing some signs of organization. Some additional development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form by the end of this week. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Afterwards, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week or this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Forecaster Papin View the full article
  12. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Jul 30 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas: A large tropical wave centered several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing limited shower activity due to environmental dry air. Conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for development over the warmer waters of the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and a tropical depression could form late this week while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Cangialosi View the full article
  13. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Jul 30 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. South of Southern Mexico (EP94): Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased this morning with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. However, overnight satellite wind data indicated the system did not yet possess a well-defined center. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next couple of days. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western East Pacific: A tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible during the middle and latter parts of the week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Afterwards, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form towards the end of the week or this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Forecaster Papin View the full article
  14. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Tue Jul 30 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bohlin NNNN View the full article
  15. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Tue Jul 30 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bohlin NNNN View the full article
  16. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Jul 30 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas: A large tropical wave centered several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles is producing limited shower activity due to environmental dry air. Conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for development over the warmer waters of the southwestern Atlantic Ocean, and a tropical depression could form late this week while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Cangialosi View the full article
  17. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Mon Jul 29 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bohlin NNNN View the full article
  18. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Jul 29 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. South of Southern Mexico (EP94): Satellite images indicate that an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is very likely to form within the next couple of days. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western East Pacific: A tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible during the middle and latter parts of the week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form towards the end of the week or this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Forecaster Blake View the full article
  19. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Jul 30 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas: A large tropical wave centered several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing limited shower activity due to dry air aloft. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development over the warmer waters of the southwestern Atlantic Ocean during the next day or two, and a tropical depression could form late this week while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Blake View the full article
  20. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Mon Jul 29 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kino NNNN View the full article
  21. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Mon Jul 29 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kino NNNN View the full article
  22. ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Mon Jul 29 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Kino NNNN View the full article
  23. ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Mon Jul 29 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas: An area of disturbed weather over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave during the next day or two. Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form late this week while the system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles or the Bahamas. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Forecaster Blake View the full article
  24. ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Jul 29 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. South of Southern Mexico (EP94): An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico continues to become better organized based on satellite imagery. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western East Pacific: A tropical wave located well to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible during the middle and latter parts of the week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form towards the end of the week or this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Bucci View the full article
  25. Parots begging for a treat
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