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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta, located several hundred miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): An area of low pressure located more than a thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear marginal for development of this system during the next couple of days while it drifts slowly westward. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable, and further development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system during the next day or so, and thereafter environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development. A tropical depression is likely to form by late this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Forecaster Bucci View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Straits of Florida and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL97): A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, the southeastern Bahamas, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic. The wave is expected to move west-northwestward near or over Cuba on Friday and then emerge over the Straits of Florida Friday night or Saturday. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development after that time, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend over the Straits of Florida or eastern Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Peninsula. Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause areas of flash flooding across Florida, Cuba, and the Bahamas through the weekend, and interests in these locations should continue to monitor the progress of this system. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system on Friday, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Forecaster Berg View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): An area of low pressure located more than a thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity around its center. Environmental conditions appear marginal for some development of this system during the next couple of days while it drifts slowly westward. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable, and further development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system during the next day or so, and thereafter environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Forecaster Papin View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Thu Aug 1 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bedal/Powell NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): An area of low pressure located more than a thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity around its center. Environmental conditions appear marginal for some development of this system during the next couple of days while it drifts slowly westward. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable, and further development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system during the next day or so, and thereafter environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Forecaster Papin View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Southwestern Atlantic and Eastern Gulf of Mexico (AL97): A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, the Southeastern Bahamas, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater Antilles. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater Antilles, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico near the Florida Peninsula. Interests across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Forecaster Beven View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): An area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity to the west of its center. Environmental conditions appear marginal for some development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become more unfavorable, and further development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system during the next day or two, and thereafter environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. Forecaster Papin View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Thu Aug 1 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Thu Aug 1 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Southwestern Atlantic and Eastern Gulf of Mexico: A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development of this system should be slow to occur during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater Antilles. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater Antilles, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico or near the Florida Peninsula. Interests across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Beven View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Aug 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): An area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity to the west of its center. Environmental conditions appear marginal for some development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become more unfavorable, and further development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system during the next day or two, and thereafter environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend or early next week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. Forecaster Papin View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): An area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity to the west of its center. Environmental conditions appear marginal for some development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become more unfavorable, and further development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system during the next couple of days, and thereafter environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. Forecaster Reinhart View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta, located a few hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): An area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing some disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity to the west of its center. Environmental conditions appear marginal for some development of this system during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become more unfavorable, and further development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system during the next couple of days, and thereafter environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph, remaining well offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. Forecaster Reinhart View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Aug 1 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Southwestern Atlantic and Eastern Gulf of Mexico: A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the northern Leeward Islands, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development of this system is unlikely during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater Antilles. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater Antilles, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico or far southwestern Atlantic Ocean, including in the vicinity of Florida. Interests across the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, and Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Reinhart View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 PM HST Wed Jul 31 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Carlotta, located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): Shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased in association with an area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear marginal for further development of this system over the next couple of days. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system later this week, and environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. Forecaster Bucci View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 PM HST Wed Jul 31 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bedal/Kino NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Carlotta, located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): Shower and thunderstorm activity has decreased in association with an area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions appear marginal for further development of this system over the next couple of days. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system later this week, and environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Carlotta are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. Forecaster Bucci View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Southwestern Atlantic and Eastern Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, the Leeward Islands, and the adjacent waters of the southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development of this system is not anticipated during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater Antilles. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater Antilles, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico or far southwestern Atlantic Ocean, including in the vicinity of Florida. Interests across the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, and Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Berg View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Three-E, located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association with an area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Conditions appear to be only marginally favorable for some gradual development of this system over the next couple of days. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system later this week where environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. Forecaster Landsea/Papin View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 800 AM HST Wed Jul 31 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Bedal/Kino NNNN View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Tropical Depression Three-E, located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. 1. Western East Pacific (EP95): Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association with an area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Conditions appear to be only marginally favorable for some gradual development of this system over the next couple of days. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 2. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles to the south of Central America is producing some disorganized showers and thunderstorms. An area of low pressure is expected to form from this system later this week where environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend as the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Three-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. Forecaster Landsea/Papin View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Near the Greater Antilles and the Bahamas: A large tropical wave located over the Lesser Antilles continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While development in the short-term is not anticipated as the system moves over portions of the Greater Antilles, environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more conducive for development as the system moves generally west-northwestward towards the Bahamas and Cuba. A tropical depression could form this weekend or early next week when the system is in the vicinity of the Greater Antilles, Bahamas, or near Florida. Interests in the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and the southeastern U.S. should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. Forecaster Papin/Landsea View the full article

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jul 31 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP94): Shower and thunderstorm activity is gradually becoming more organized near an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. If these current trends continue, this system is expected to become a tropical depression as soon as later this morning. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 2. Western East Pacific (EP95): Shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized in association with an area of low pressure located more than one thousand miles to the southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. Some gradual development of this system remains possible, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend. This system is forecast to move slowly westward at 5 to 10 mph, remaining over the western portion of the basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. 3. South of Central America and Southern Mexico: An area of low pressure is expected to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Afterwards, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend. The system is forecast to move westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph during the next several days, remaining offshore. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Forecaster Papin View the full article

ZCZC HFOTWOCP ALL TTAA00 PHFO DDHHMM Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI 200 AM HST Wed Jul 31 2024 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: No tropical cyclones are expected through the next 7 days. $$ Forecaster Shigesato NNNN View the full article